By PRASHANT S. RAO
September 1, 2017
Trade negotiators from Canada, Mexico and the United States resume discussions on Friday over the future of the North American Free Trade Agreement.
The first round of the talks, which opened in Washington last month, got off to a tense start with the Trump administration admonishing its neighbors and declaring that Nafta had “fundamentally failed.”
As the second round gets underway in Mexico City, the three countries said in a statement that they were committed to an “ambitious outcome.”
What is being negotiated?
Nafta, which came into force in 1994, created what is now the world’s biggest free-trade bloc.
But the pact has been the focus of criticism in recent years. Opponents in the United States — President Trump chief among them — argue that it has allowed Mexico to benefit at the expense of its neighbor to the north.
As proof, the Trump administration has pointed to the trade deficit, with Americans buying more goods and services from Mexico and Canada than vice versa. Many economists argue, however, that these bilateral trade deficits, when viewed in isolation, are not a good measure of a nation’s economic health.
The administration has also blamed Nafta for job losses in the United States, a persistent theme during Mr. Trump’s election campaign. But American manufacturers worry that changes to Nafta could disrupt the global supply chain, raising their costs.
What does each side want?
While each country will have priorities, three issues have come to the fore.
• Rules of origin
Right now, for example, a car assembled in Mexico is not subject to an import tax if a certain percentage of the vehicle was made in North America. The Trump administration wants to increase that figure, a move that is supported by the biggest automobile union in the United States. Carmakers, however, are wary, saying that such a move could raise their costs.
• Arbitration
Under Nafta, companies in North America can use a system of independent arbitration to force a country to do away with measures that violate the trade deal. The system has been used mostly by Canadian and Mexican companies against the United States, and the White House wants to end it.
• Modernization
One area in which the countries seem to agree is the need to modernize Nafta, which predates the ubiquitousness of the internet. While the sides’ positions differ, updates could address e-commerce and newer workplace and environmental rules.
What has happened so far?
The first round of negotiations was not congenial.
The Trump administration’s representatives railed against Nafta in public while seeking major concessions from their Canadian and Mexican counterparts in private.
“We feel that Nafta has fundamentally failed many, many Americans and needs major improvement,” Robert E. Lighthizer, the United States trade representative, said when the first set of talks began on Aug. 16.
The Canadian and Mexican representatives, however, insisted that the current version of Nafta was not biased against the United States.
What are the next steps?
The three countries will follow up the five days of negotiations with another round in Canada this month. Several more rounds are expected to follow this year.
There are time pressures. Mexico is scheduled to hold presidential elections next July. And a new deal may be tough to sell to the country’s politicians as they gear up for the campaign.